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kernbench2/tests/analytical_visualization/chip_roofline.py
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mukesh b7c4c680aa analytical-viz: roofline tab — 'How hyperscalers pick GPU count' section
New section at the bottom of the Chip Roofline tab implementing the
three-axis GPU count decision:

  N_GPUs = max(capacity_floor, KV_headroom, throughput_SLO) × N_replicas

Interactive inputs: concurrent users, avg context/user, TPOT SLO.
Four KPI cards report each axis + the recommended total, with a
'binds:' delta chip showing which axis is the bottleneck.

  - Axis A (capacity):  PEs to hold weights alone
  - Axis B (KV):        PEs to hold weights + all KV of one replica's users
  - Axis C (throughput): replicas needed at B_at_SLO users each
  - Total: max(A,B) × N_replicas

Contextual caption explains what to do about the binding axis. If SLO
is infeasible (even B=1 exceeds SLO), an error block explains the
options (loosen SLO, shorten context, or scale up FLOPs/BW knobs).

Plus three collapsed expanders explaining the hybrid deployment
pattern hyperscalers use:
  - Layer 1: one elastic pool + PagedAttention + continuous batching
  - Layer 2: length-tier routing (standard vs long-context)
  - Layer 3: disaggregated prefill/decode (DistServe, Splitwise)

Pure additions in chip_roofline.py:
- max_batch_within_slo(machine, model, s_kv, slo_s) — analytical
  inverse of step_latency to find the largest per-replica B under SLO
- size_deployment(machine, model, n_users, avg_ctx, slo_s) — returns
  GpuSizingResult with all three axes + binding info

6 new tests cover: capacity scales with model size, KV grows with
users/context, binding axis flips with workload shape, tight SLO
shrinks max batch, weight-time-exceeds-SLO returns 0, total ==
per-replica × replicas.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-29 15:07:20 -07:00

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"""Chip-level roofline math: AI, B*, L*, per-token latency curves.
Surfaces the arithmetic-intensity story from LLM-serving practice:
- **AI** = C / W (peak FLOPs per byte of HBM bandwidth).
- **B\*** = C * b / (2 * W) * sparsity — the critical batch size at
which weight-fetch time equals compute time for one decode step.
Sparsity = N_total / N_active (MoE factor; 1 for dense).
- **L\*** = 2 * N_active / (AI * kv_bytes_per_token) — the balance
context length at which KV-read time equals compute time.
- **B_knee(S_kv)** = B* / (1 - S_kv/L*) — the batch size where the
cost curve bends (weight-fetch drops below the compute+KV floor).
Diverges at S_kv = L* and no knee exists past it.
Per-token decode-step latency, per PE (dense-approx, no comm):
t(B, S_kv) = N_active * b / (W * B) <-- weight fetch, 1/B
+ 2 * N_active / C <-- compute (peak), flat
+ S_kv * kv_bpt / W <-- KV read, flat
All numbers per PE / per one forward pass. **Peak roofline — no
utilization factor.** Comm cost and TP/CP sharding are intentionally
NOT in the roofline — this is the back-of-envelope chip-vs-model view
the transcript talks about, not the full latency model that
stage_latencies.py builds. With this convention weight_s == compute_s
exactly at B*.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
from dataclasses import dataclass, replace
from .model_config import FullConfig, MachineParams, ModelConfig
# Per-token bytes of BF16 MAC arithmetic: one multiply + one add = 2 FLOPs.
_FLOPS_PER_PARAM_PER_TOKEN = 2
# ── Chip / model derived quantities ────────────────────────────────
def arithmetic_intensity(machine: MachineParams) -> float:
"""FLOPs per byte of HBM bandwidth. Peak roofline; utilization
is applied only in the compute-time formula, not here."""
return machine.peak_flops / machine.bw_hbm
def total_active_params(model: ModelConfig) -> int:
"""Full-model parameter count (attention + FFN, all layers).
Attention: 4 projections × hidden × H_q * d_head effective per layer.
(W_Q hidden×H_q*d_h, W_O H_q*d_h×hidden, W_K/W_V hidden×H_kv*d_h.)
FFN: 3 × hidden × ffn_dim per layer (gate, up, down).
"""
m = model
attn = (
m.hidden * m.h_q * m.d_head # W_Q
+ m.hidden * m.h_kv * m.d_head * 2 # W_K + W_V
+ m.h_q * m.d_head * m.hidden # W_O
)
ffn = 3 * m.hidden * m.ffn_dim
return (attn + ffn) * m.layers
def kv_bytes_per_token(model: ModelConfig) -> int:
"""Bytes of KV cache one new token adds across ALL layers, per one
sequence, un-sharded (K + V, H_kv heads * d_h * bytes)."""
m = model
return 2 * m.h_kv * m.d_head * m.bytes_per_elem * m.layers
def critical_batch(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
sparsity: float = 1.0) -> float:
"""B* = C * b / (2 * W) * sparsity.
Sparsity = N_total / N_active (>= 1). Dense = 1. MoE 8-of-256 = 8.
"""
b = model.bytes_per_elem
ai = arithmetic_intensity(machine)
return ai * b / _FLOPS_PER_PARAM_PER_TOKEN * sparsity
def balance_context(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig) -> float:
"""L* = 2 * N_active / (AI * kv_bpt).
Context length (in tokens) at which per-step KV read matches the
per-step compute cost. Beyond L*, the KV term is dominant and no
batch size gets you compute-bound.
"""
n_active = total_active_params(model)
ai = arithmetic_intensity(machine)
kv_bpt = kv_bytes_per_token(model)
return _FLOPS_PER_PARAM_PER_TOKEN * n_active / (ai * kv_bpt)
def knee_batch(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
s_kv: int) -> float | None:
"""B_knee(S_kv) = B* / (1 - S_kv/L*).
Returns None when S_kv >= L* (no knee exists — the total-cost
curve never touches the compute floor).
"""
b_star = critical_batch(machine, model)
l_star = balance_context(machine, model)
r = s_kv / l_star
if r >= 1.0:
return None
return b_star / (1.0 - r)
# ── Per-token latency curves ───────────────────────────────────────
@dataclass
class RooflinePoint:
batch: int
weight_s: float # weight fetch time, 1/B
compute_s: float # compute time, flat
kv_s: float # KV read time, flat
total_s: float
def per_token_latency_curve(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
batch_range: list[int],
s_kv: int) -> list[RooflinePoint]:
"""Per-token decode-step latency curve across a range of batch sizes.
Returns one point per batch. All times per PE, dense-approx,
utilization from machine.compute_util. Comm and TP/CP sharding are
excluded — this is the roofline model.
"""
n_active = total_active_params(model)
b = model.bytes_per_elem
weight_bytes = n_active * b
compute_flops = _FLOPS_PER_PARAM_PER_TOKEN * n_active
kv_read_bytes = s_kv * kv_bytes_per_token(model)
compute_s = compute_flops / machine.peak_flops
kv_s = kv_read_bytes / machine.bw_hbm
points: list[RooflinePoint] = []
for bs in batch_range:
weight_s = weight_bytes / machine.bw_hbm / max(1, bs)
points.append(RooflinePoint(
batch=bs,
weight_s=weight_s,
compute_s=compute_s,
kv_s=kv_s,
total_s=weight_s + compute_s + kv_s,
))
return points
def bound_regime(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
batch: int, s_kv: int) -> str:
"""Which term dominates at the current (batch, S_kv) point.
Returns 'memory-bound' if weight_fetch is the largest term,
'kv-bound' if KV read is largest, 'compute-bound' if compute.
"""
pts = per_token_latency_curve(machine, model, [batch], s_kv)
p = pts[0]
parts = {"memory-bound": p.weight_s,
"kv-bound": p.kv_s,
"compute-bound": p.compute_s}
return max(parts, key=parts.get)
# ── Regime-dependent cost terms ────────────────────────────────────
def t_mem_short(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
batch: int) -> float:
"""Per-token weight-fetch time (short-context regime term).
N_active · b / (W · B). Shrinks as B grows — this is what
batching amortizes.
"""
return (total_active_params(model) * model.bytes_per_elem
/ (machine.bw_hbm * max(1, batch)))
def t_mem_long(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
s_kv: int) -> float:
"""Per-token KV-read time (long-context regime term).
S_kv · kv_bpt / W. Independent of B — each sequence reads its
own KV cache; batching doesn't help.
"""
return s_kv * kv_bytes_per_token(model) / machine.bw_hbm
def t_com(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig) -> float:
"""Per-token compute time. Same in both regimes: 2·N/C, peak."""
return _FLOPS_PER_PARAM_PER_TOKEN * total_active_params(model) / machine.peak_flops
# ── "Good" batch / context recommendations ─────────────────────────
@dataclass
class BatchRecommendation:
target: float # Pope's rule: 2 × B*
b_star: float # B* itself
effective: float # what we recommend using
reason: str # short explanation
@dataclass
class ContextRecommendation:
l_star: float # balance context length
max_efficient: float # same as l_star (compute-friendly ceiling)
utilization_at: float # utilization at current s_kv
reason: str
def good_batch(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
sparsity: float = 1.0) -> BatchRecommendation:
"""Recommended batch size: 2 × B* (Pope's rule of thumb).
Below B*: memory-bound, doubling B halves cost/token.
At 2×B*: 50% excess over compute floor — the sweet spot.
Beyond 3×B*: diminishing returns; latency keeps growing linearly.
"""
b_star = critical_batch(machine, model, sparsity)
target = 2 * b_star
return BatchRecommendation(
target=target, b_star=b_star, effective=target,
reason=(f"2·B* = 2 · {b_star:.0f} = {target:.0f}. "
"Below B*: memory-bound (doubling B halves cost/token). "
"Beyond 3·B*: diminishing returns."),
)
def good_context(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
s_kv: int) -> ContextRecommendation:
"""Recommended max context: L* — the compute-friendly ceiling.
Below L*: KV read is cheap relative to compute → good utilization.
Above L*: KV bandwidth wall → utilization = 1/(1 + S_kv/L*).
"""
l_star = balance_context(machine, model)
util = utilization_at(s_kv, l_star)
return ContextRecommendation(
l_star=l_star, max_efficient=l_star, utilization_at=util,
reason=(f"L* = {l_star:,.0f} tokens. Below L*: compute-bound "
f"(good util). At {s_kv:,} tokens: peak utilization ≈ "
f"{util*100:.1f}% (1 / (1 + S_kv/L*))."),
)
def utilization_at(s_kv: int, l_star: float) -> float:
"""Peak compute utilization at context length s_kv, given L*.
util = compute / (compute + KV_read) = 1 / (1 + S_kv/L*).
At S_kv=0: 100%. At S_kv=L*: 50%. At 2·L*: 33.3%. At 5·L*: 16.7%.
"""
return 1.0 / (1.0 + s_kv / l_star)
# ── Per-step latency (undivided by B) ─────────────────────────────
@dataclass
class StepLatencyPoint:
batch: int
weight_s: float # N·b / W — flat in B (loaded once per step)
compute_s: float # 2·N·B / C — linear in B
kv_s: float # B · S_kv · kv_bpt / W — linear in B
total_s: float
def step_latency_curve(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
batch_range: list[int],
s_kv: int) -> list[StepLatencyPoint]:
"""Total time of one decode step (one forward pass), across a
range of batch sizes. NOT divided by B — this is the SLO view.
step_weight = N·b / W (batch-invariant)
step_compute = 2·N·B / C (linear in B)
step_kv = B · S_kv · kv_bpt / W (linear in B)
Per-token cost = step_total / B — the two views trade off:
bigger B lowers cost/token but raises step latency.
"""
n_active = total_active_params(model)
b = model.bytes_per_elem
weight_bytes = n_active * b
kv_bpt = kv_bytes_per_token(model)
step_weight = weight_bytes / machine.bw_hbm
points: list[StepLatencyPoint] = []
for bs in batch_range:
B = max(1, bs)
step_compute = _FLOPS_PER_PARAM_PER_TOKEN * n_active * B / machine.peak_flops
step_kv = B * s_kv * kv_bpt / machine.bw_hbm
total = step_weight + step_compute + step_kv
points.append(StepLatencyPoint(
batch=bs,
weight_s=step_weight,
compute_s=step_compute,
kv_s=step_kv,
total_s=total,
))
return points
# ── PE memory budget curves ───────────────────────────────────────
@dataclass
class MemoryBudgetPoint:
axis_val: int # S_kv or B being swept
weights_gb: float
kv_gb: float
transient_gb: float
used_gb: float
free_gb: float # max(0, hbm_gb - used_gb)
over_budget: bool
def _budget_point(weights_bytes: int, kv_bytes: int, transient_bytes: int,
hbm_bytes: int, axis_val: int) -> MemoryBudgetPoint:
used = weights_bytes + kv_bytes + transient_bytes
return MemoryBudgetPoint(
axis_val=axis_val,
weights_gb=weights_bytes / 1e9,
kv_gb=kv_bytes / 1e9,
transient_gb=transient_bytes / 1e9,
used_gb=used / 1e9,
free_gb=max(0, hbm_bytes - used) / 1e9,
over_budget=(used > hbm_bytes),
)
def memory_budget_curve_vs_skv(cfg: FullConfig,
s_kv_range: list[int],
batch: int) -> list[MemoryBudgetPoint]:
"""Per-PE memory as S_kv sweeps. Uses cfg's current sharding
(CP, TP, PP). Sets topo.b = batch. Returns one point per S_kv."""
from .memory_layout import (
per_pe_kv_cache_bytes, per_pe_transient_bytes, per_pe_weight_bytes,
)
hbm_bytes = int(cfg.machine.pe_budget_bytes)
weights_bytes = per_pe_weight_bytes(cfg)
transient_bytes = per_pe_transient_bytes(cfg)
points: list[MemoryBudgetPoint] = []
for skv in s_kv_range:
swept_topo = replace(cfg.topo, s_kv=int(skv), b=max(1, int(batch)))
swept_cfg = FullConfig(model=cfg.model, topo=swept_topo,
machine=cfg.machine)
kv_bytes = per_pe_kv_cache_bytes(swept_cfg)
points.append(_budget_point(weights_bytes, kv_bytes,
transient_bytes, hbm_bytes, int(skv)))
return points
def memory_budget_curve_vs_batch(cfg: FullConfig,
b_range: list[int],
s_kv: int) -> list[MemoryBudgetPoint]:
"""Per-PE memory as B sweeps. Sets topo.s_kv = s_kv."""
from .memory_layout import (
per_pe_kv_cache_bytes, per_pe_transient_bytes, per_pe_weight_bytes,
)
hbm_bytes = int(cfg.machine.pe_budget_bytes)
weights_bytes = per_pe_weight_bytes(cfg)
transient_bytes = per_pe_transient_bytes(cfg)
points: list[MemoryBudgetPoint] = []
for bs in b_range:
swept_topo = replace(cfg.topo, b=max(1, int(bs)), s_kv=int(s_kv))
swept_cfg = FullConfig(model=cfg.model, topo=swept_topo,
machine=cfg.machine)
kv_bytes = per_pe_kv_cache_bytes(swept_cfg)
points.append(_budget_point(weights_bytes, kv_bytes,
transient_bytes, hbm_bytes, int(bs)))
return points
# ── AI / B* sensitivity to hardware knobs ──────────────────────────
@dataclass
class AISensitivityPoint:
multiplier: float # scale factor applied to the base machine
peak_tflops: float
bw_gbs: float
ai: float # C / W
b_star: float # C·b/(2·W)
# ── GPU count sizing (three-axis) ─────────────────────────────────
@dataclass
class GpuSizingResult:
# Inputs echoed back for display / debugging
n_users: int
avg_ctx_tokens: int
tpot_slo_s: float
# Per-replica values
pes_axis_a_capacity: int # PEs to hold weights alone (bare floor)
pes_axis_b_kv: int # PEs to hold weights + KV of this replica's users
pes_per_replica: int # max(A, B)
# Throughput axis
b_at_slo: int # largest per-replica B satisfying SLO
users_per_replica: int # min(n_users, b_at_slo), at least 1
n_replicas: int # ceil(n_users / users_per_replica)
# Grand total
total_pes: int
binding_axis: str # 'capacity' | 'kv' | 'throughput'
def max_batch_within_slo(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
s_kv: int, tpot_slo_s: float) -> int:
"""Largest per-replica B such that decode step latency ≤ SLO.
step_latency(B) = N·b/W + 2·N·B/C + B·S_kv·kv_bpt/W
= weight_fetch + B · (compute + kv_read)
Returns 0 if even B=1 exceeds SLO (weight fetch alone too large,
or per-sequence term already blows the budget).
"""
n = total_active_params(model)
b_elem = model.bytes_per_elem
weight_time = n * b_elem / machine.bw_hbm
per_seq_time = (_FLOPS_PER_PARAM_PER_TOKEN * n / machine.peak_flops
+ s_kv * kv_bytes_per_token(model) / machine.bw_hbm)
if weight_time + per_seq_time > tpot_slo_s:
return 0
remaining = tpot_slo_s - weight_time
b_max = int(remaining / per_seq_time)
return max(1, b_max)
def size_deployment(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
n_users: int, avg_ctx: int,
tpot_slo_s: float) -> GpuSizingResult:
"""Three-axis GPU count for a target workload.
Axis A — capacity floor: PEs to hold one replica's weights.
Axis B — KV headroom: PEs to hold weights + all KV of the
users assigned to this replica.
Axis C — throughput SLO: replicas needed so per-replica B ≤ b_at_slo.
Result: pes_per_replica = max(A, B); total = pes_per_replica × replicas.
Binding axis is whichever grew the count the most.
"""
n = total_active_params(model)
b_elem = model.bytes_per_elem
weight_bytes = n * b_elem
hbm_pe = int(machine.pe_hbm_gb * 1e9)
kv_bpt = kv_bytes_per_token(model)
# Axis C: throughput
b_at_slo = max_batch_within_slo(machine, model, avg_ctx, tpot_slo_s)
users_per_replica = max(1, min(n_users, b_at_slo)) if b_at_slo > 0 else 1
n_replicas = (n_users + users_per_replica - 1) // users_per_replica
# Axis A: bare weights
pes_a = (weight_bytes + hbm_pe - 1) // hbm_pe
# Axis B: weights + KV load for this replica's users
kv_per_replica = users_per_replica * avg_ctx * kv_bpt
pes_b = (weight_bytes + kv_per_replica + hbm_pe - 1) // hbm_pe
pes_per_replica = max(pes_a, pes_b)
total = pes_per_replica * n_replicas
if n_replicas > 1:
binding = "throughput"
elif pes_b > pes_a:
binding = "kv"
else:
binding = "capacity"
return GpuSizingResult(
n_users=n_users,
avg_ctx_tokens=avg_ctx,
tpot_slo_s=tpot_slo_s,
pes_axis_a_capacity=int(pes_a),
pes_axis_b_kv=int(pes_b),
pes_per_replica=int(pes_per_replica),
b_at_slo=b_at_slo,
users_per_replica=int(users_per_replica),
n_replicas=int(n_replicas),
total_pes=int(total),
binding_axis=binding,
)
def ai_sensitivity_curve(machine: MachineParams, model: ModelConfig,
multipliers: list[float],
axis: str = "flops") -> list[AISensitivityPoint]:
"""Sweep FLOPs OR BW while holding the other fixed. Returns AI + B*
at each multiplier.
axis='flops' → scales peak_tflops_f16 (AI grows linearly).
axis='bw' → scales bw_hbm_gbs (AI shrinks inversely).
"""
if axis not in ("flops", "bw"):
raise ValueError(f"axis must be 'flops' or 'bw', got {axis!r}")
base_flops = machine.peak_tflops_f16
base_bw = machine.bw_hbm_gbs
points: list[AISensitivityPoint] = []
for k in multipliers:
if axis == "flops":
m = replace(machine, peak_tflops_f16=base_flops * k)
else:
m = replace(machine, bw_hbm_gbs=base_bw * k)
points.append(AISensitivityPoint(
multiplier=k,
peak_tflops=m.peak_tflops_f16,
bw_gbs=m.bw_hbm_gbs,
ai=arithmetic_intensity(m),
b_star=critical_batch(m, model),
))
return points